East Coasters especially Chesapeake & Delaware

To all you folks with boats on the region.....best of luck, The Navy is now under orders to leave Norfolk as the landfall is for Delaware Bay. Storm surge in Norfolk is expected at 6 feet. http://cruisersnet.net/latest-on-hurricane-sandy-as-of-430-pm-102612/ Good luck to everyone. The shit starts hitting the fan on Sunday noon apparently Best of luck. -- /ch

Not looking good for the entire eastern seaboard and most of Eastern Canada at the present. Check the cell to the north. source software is zyGrib...just use google. Its free software platform independent. /ch

Maybe I'm being totally naive, but <yawn>. Landfall in Delaware Bay puts the eye way north and east of the mouth of the Chesapeake. Sustained NE winds are going to blow water OUT of the Bay, not IN, so I expect to see below-mean low tides rather than a surge. (And "up to 6 feeet" in Norfolk does not necessarily amount to much by the time you get to mid-Bay such as Annapolis.) [Check out this animated wind forecast if you want to see why I'm not concerned about high water in the Bay: http://co-ops.nos.noaa.gov/ofs/cbofs/wind_forecast.shtml.) When I listen to the news reports, it's very clear that we're all going to die. When I listen to the weather reports however, we're just in for a bigger than normal nor'easter. Yes, the Jersey Shore has good reason to be very worried, and perhaps Delaware Bay, but I don't see much reason for concern in the Chesapeake. Alfred --- In Ca… [at] yahoogroups.com, chris123 <chris.herrnberger@...> wrote: > > To all you folks with boats on the region.....best of luck, The Navy > is now under orders to leave Norfolk as the landfall is for Delaware > Bay. Storm surge in Norfolk is expected at 6 feet. > > http://cruisersnet.net/latest-on-hurricane-sandy-as-of-430-pm-102612/ > > Good luck to everyone. The shit starts hitting the fan on Sunday noon > apparently > > Best of luck. > > -- > /ch >

Up here its a mess further north of us from the other depression that is affecting us immediately The info I posted was not from TV rather from grib data and US NOAA sources. Hope your observations come true as several friends, snowbirds, in the area around Norfolk are preparing for the storm. Keep well. /ch

Alfred: Good to chat again. Here's an animation for an 8 day forecast I put together. Its the tail end of the event where the concern is I think (or as its being interpreted with respect to storm surge) as the winds do a full 360 at pretty high level of sustained speed. I do hope you are right. I'm not concerned per say, I just find this interesting to follow this stuff as it improves the weather forecasting skills and the software selection used. All data sources are a compiled version of 3 NOAA models. Its available from my dropbox folder as its 13megs if it interest you. https://dl.dropbox.com/u/17103785/sailingdocs/predictions2.swf BTW...Northern Ontario is taking a beating right now, and that crap is moving south and east into the urban areas. Will be an interesting week ahead for us. Best regards /ch